{"type":"post","id":"the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c","slug":"the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c","title":"The 10x illusion. Everyone says AI makes developers 10x faster.","description":"Titus Winters argues that AI’s contribution to software engineering is being misread when teams count code output as productivity.","retrieval_nugget":"Titus Winters argues that AI’s contribution to software engineering is being misread when teams count code output as productivity. He says he has not seen research showing gains above 20–30%, and relays reports of more code, more outages and flat feature delivery—raising the question of whether teams are converting generation into verified outcomes.","published_at":"2026-11-02","updated_at":"2026-11-02","record_date":"2026-11-02","date_kind":"published_at","topics":["google","coding-agents"],"entities":["Titus Winters","The Pragmatic Engineer","Google","Adobe","Software Engineering at Google","Abseil"],"related_patterns":["verification-bandwidth-is-the-scarce-resource"],"novelty_label":"new_angle","what_changed":"Winters’ episode frames the 10x productivity claim against lessons from Google-scale engineering and a call to overhaul computer science education.","prior_refs":["https://newruntime.com/posts/atlassian-s-2026-state-of-the-developer-experience-ea0fd8/"],"source_url":"https://newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com/p/software-engineering-at-google-and","source_urls":["https://newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com/p/software-engineering-at-google-and"],"schema_version":"newruntime-agent-readable-v0.2","stable_id":"post:the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c","status":"published","visuals":[],"editor":{"role":"editor","name":"Andrey Reshetnikov","profile":"https://newruntime.com/owner-profile.md","profile_json":"https://newruntime.com/owner-profile.json","same_as":["https://www.linkedin.com/in/reshetnikov1/","https://t.me/lapetuse"]},"routes":{"html":"https://newruntime.com/posts/the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c/","markdown":"https://newruntime.com/posts/the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c.md","json":"https://newruntime.com/posts/the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c.json"},"markdown_url":"https://newruntime.com/posts/the-10x-illusion-everyone-says-ai-makes-developers-b1218c.md","next_reads":[{"type":"topic","path":"/topics/google/","url":"https://newruntime.com/topics/google/","title":"Google","reason":"Explore the google topic hub.","media_type":"text/html","markdown_url":"https://newruntime.com/topics/google.md","json_url":"https://newruntime.com/topics/google.json"},{"type":"topic","path":"/topics/coding-agents/","url":"https://newruntime.com/topics/coding-agents/","title":"Coding Agents","reason":"Explore the coding-agents topic hub.","media_type":"text/html","markdown_url":"https://newruntime.com/topics/coding-agents.md","json_url":"https://newruntime.com/topics/coding-agents.json"},{"type":"collection","path":"/posts/","url":"https://newruntime.com/posts/","title":"Field Notes","reason":"Open the latest editorial analysis.","media_type":"text/html","json_url":"https://newruntime.com/posts.json"},{"type":"collection","path":"/sources/","url":"https://newruntime.com/sources/","title":"Sources","reason":"See the original sources this archive cites.","media_type":"text/html"}]}